View From The Ridge…

With altitude one can gain clarity.

Obama ‘Landslide Scenario’ Very Unlikely; 4 In 10 Undecided

with one comment

Politico is reporting:

“From the fever swamps of the blogosphere to the halls of academia, there is a chorus of voices who have come to the same conclusion about the presidential election: Barack Obama is going to win in November, by something resembling a landslide.

Yet for all the breathless analysis and number-crunching that has convinced observers Obama is en route to an epic victory, there is one key historic fact that is often overlooked-most popular vote landslides were clearly visible by the end of summer. And by that indicator, 2008 doesn’t measure up.

In five of the six post-war landslides (defined as a victory of 10 percentage points or more) the eventual winner was ahead by at least 10 percentage points in the polls at the close of August, according to a Politico analysis of historical Gallup polls. Over the past week, however, Gallup’s daily tracking poll pegs Obama ahead of John McCain by a margin of 2 to 5 percentage points.

The one exception to the August rule was 1980. Ronald Reagan was trailing slightly in the August polls before surging forward to win by roughly a 10-point margin.

By comparison, the biggest post-war landslides-1964, 1972 and 1984-were signaled by a large, double-digit advantage held by the eventual winner at the close of August.” READ MORE

4 in 10 not locked onto a candidate…

The Olympics, summer vacations and back-to-school preparations are overshadowing politics for many right now. That should start changing as and just after the two parties hold their nominating conventions — the Democrats at the end this month, the Republicans in early September.

43% of registered voters have not made final decisions on whom to support, according to a recent Associated Press-Ipsos poll. That includes 15% leaning toward Obama or backing him while saying they could change their minds, and 16% leaning toward McCain, saying they could change their minds.  Another 8 percent are completely undecided! Just 4% weakly back third-party candidates Ralph Nader or Bob Barr.

That’s quite a bit more than were uncommitted at this stage in 2004, when an AP-Ipsos poll showed 37 percent in the same category. In that race President Bush, who is more familiar to the public than McCain, was seeking re-election.

All major polling date reflects the results of AP polling, within a few percentage points.  It is shaping up to be quite a nail-biter!

Given the geo-political situation of the World, I can’t help thinking this is ultimately going to help McCain, and injure Obama. Why?  Because Obama doesn’t do as well as McCain in “unscripted” events, which Obama’s handelers have been avoiding placing their man into.  That is why they nixed the “Town Hall” format pushed by McCain.  As the election rolls on, they will not have that luxury, and more access to Obama, in unscripted events will not show him as favorably.  Also, the PAC’s, and their main media buys haven’t yet hit.  There are more negatives to hit the fan about Obama that will leave his campaign in disaray.  Count on it.

Advertisements

Written by Ridgeliner7

Wednesday, August 13, 2008 at 10:59:03 AM

One Response

Subscribe to comments with RSS.

  1. Speaking on behalf of myself China’s current succession emperor, HIM Yao Sui, who is China’s head of state living in exile in the United States of America and speaking for and on behalf of my employer Lester D.K. Chow and Associates, a family owned and run business, a government-to-government political negotiation firm that ended the Iraq War in November 1990.

    Barack Obama is the wrong man as well as being a great mistake for America to elect as its 44th President of the United States of America. Barack Obama, who is a Muslim, a non-Christian (false Christian), and a Black man who is from the lower reaches of our society, who has never learned what the right way up is like in America and who has never achieved anything of great merit, by honesty and by himself, should never lead this nation.

    Being President is not like being voted Mr. Popularity on a college campus, where Mr. Popularity had big corporations quietly donating to his college fund in support of his candidacy. This is an unfair advantage that, if goes unchecked, is an abuse of one’s college election and college peers.

    Much of Barack Obama’s money is dirty money, gotten from his early association with the likes of Rezko and others. Barack Obama has no idea, what it means to earn an honest living, an honest dollar, and most of his life in Illinois has been spent this way. Dirty money and kickbacks in exchange for unfair and criminal legislation passed. Along with Rezko, Barack Obama and others should be indicted.

    In his favored association with Rezko, Barack Obama participated in drug taking and cocaine. He has even engaged on acts of homosexual conduct, which renders him unfit for the highest office in the land. Yet, Barack Obama seems to be the media darling and if he is not vetted by the press before the Democrat Convention, John McCain will be our next US President.

    You don’t vote into office a man with a record like Barack Obama.

    Also, the come back for the Obama people is to harass and financially damage people who criticize Barack Obama. Essentially destroying Obama’s critics and detractors. people who are merely repeating what they have heard about Barack Obama!

    The Obama team is certainly unfair in that regard, by doing away with the truth of Obama’s character and past.

    If Obama wins, it is most likely that the truth will be shut up and people will not have the freedom of speech!

    What is, too, bad about Obama is that his modus operandi or way of doing things resembles the Chicago style of politics and its criminal elements. Good up front, where people can openly see and the truth of what they are doing and the lives that they hurt goes untold.

    I do wish that this nation, my nation, my and my family’s adopted nation will put a halt to Barack Obama’s politics and political machine, before it’s too late.

    A fair political contest is the contest in November between Hillary Rodham Clinton and John Sydney McCain.

    Hillary is not the ugly witch that we all have come to know via the Obama team and people (supporters) and John Sydney McCain is not the immoral and disloyal American that the Obama people have been preaching to us. Both candidates are wonderful people with a lot to offer this nation.

    Barack speaks of change, yet this country needs no change. People, too, are voting for Obama, because they are against the war, when they do not realize what this war is all about and that Obama has no intention to end this war.

    I know, because I am the person who worked with both governments and had access to qualified intelligence information. I know, because I questioned Obama with very simple questions (kindergarten-type questions), which he would have been obligated to answer, if he were truly knowledgeable and sincere about his withdrawal plan for Iraq.

    Most truthfully, I say, Barack Obama is an outright fraud from the very day of his birth and has continued to be a fraud throughout his entire political campaign. Based on objective observations, he is the biggest liar, who has ever run for the office of the President and he will get our nation into a war much larger than the joint Bush administration and even bring about a biblical armageddon!

    I am more than willing to appear on national television to support my statements and claims against Obama. And unlike Larry Sinclair, who took the polygraph test without demanding that Barack Obama also take one, I would demand that Barack Obama appear on national television to defend himself against claims made by me!

    To pass a lie detector test by a score of .10 chance of deception means that Larry Sinclair passed the polygraph test with a score of 90 percent!

    Come on Barack Obama your time has ended! Let’s get a far better person nominated and have a real American political contest in November 2008!

    We are also in agreement with what Dr. Jerome Corsi Ph.D has to say about Barack Obama. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1kYEJNIqS24

    And I wish that some major newsmedia network will give me that chance to air my grievances to Barack Obama in front of Barack Obama!

    Is Barack Obama willing to be truthful or does he have to hide again and turn his dogs against people, rather than to come out and answer people’s concerns for themselves!

    The reason I want to see a good President in the White House is because I feel that an honest and upright man will be best for the US, China, and for world peace!

    HIM Yao Sui,
    US Citizen by birth. Care
    to see my birth certificate?

    “The Ones”

    “We are the ones that we’ve been waiting for!” That is another Barack Obama lie!

    My identity and family heritage:
    http://www.youtube.com/himyaosui
    http://himyaosui.wordpress.com
    http://www.myspace.com/centerkingdom
    http://www.myspace.com/himyaosui

    Sites which have controversial yet true material:
    http://himyaosui2.wordpress.com
    http://himyaosui.livejournal.com

    My and my company’s posting profile:
    http://www.topix.net/member/profile/himyaosui
    http://lchow.webvis.net/temp.html
    http://www.topix.net/member/profile/lchow

    Please read all of the above sites and accompanying links.

    himyaosui2

    Wednesday, August 13, 2008 at 2:52:12 PM


Leave a Reply

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: